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Xero will multiply its profitability with a 25% net profit margin

KI
KiwiInvest
Not Invested
Community Contributor
Published
02 Feb 25
Updated
02 Feb 25
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KiwiInvest's Fair Value
AU$398.60
56.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
02 Feb
AU$174.38
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1Y
45.0%
7D
4.9%

Author's Valuation

AU$398.6

56.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

KiwiInvest's Fair Value

Increasing subscriber numbers alongside increasing ARPU yields 20% annual revenue growth as more and more businesses turn to cloud based accounting solutions with strong integrations and eventual AI features to run their businesses. Xero has high scalability of its products, with current gross margin of ~88%. The higher revenue will be applied across relatively static operating expenses as Xero reaches the point where it can continue steady feature rollouts without needing to increase spending relative to revenue, resulting in higher net profit margins. Strong revenue and net profit margin results alongside continued feature rollouts causes the market to still view Xero as having much room to grow and results in a Future PE of 80x.

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Disclaimer

The user KiwiInvest holds no position in ASX:XRO. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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AU$187.88
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7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
16.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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