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MIN: Less Severe Revenue Contraction Will Still Restrain Future Returns

Rising Costs And Regulatory Burdens Will Stall Mining Expansion

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MIN
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Published 02 Jul 2025
6 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Update shared on 30 Apr 2026

Fair value Increased 49%
28 May
AU$71.43
AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value
AU$38.79
84.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y
204.6%
7D
5.7%

Analysts have lifted their price target on Mineral Resources from A$21.79 to A$32.52, supported by updated assumptions that point to less pronounced revenue contraction, slightly higher profit margins and a broadly steady forward P/E multiple despite a modestly higher discount rate.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: A$21.79 to A$32.52, reflecting a large upward reset in the assessed equity value per share.
  • Discount Rate: 8.83% to 9.27%, representing a slight increase in the required return applied to future cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth: from a 5.74% contraction to a 0.62% contraction, pointing to a much less severe expected revenue decline.
  • Profit Margin: 11.86% to 13.16%, indicating moderately higher expected profitability on A$ revenue.
  • Future P/E: 12.40x to 12.42x, effectively unchanged and suggesting similar valuation multiples on projected earnings.

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