Update shared on 02 May 2026
Fair value Decreased 2.22%Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for DroneShield to A$4.40. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E expectations.
What's in the News
- DroneShield announced that long serving CEO Oleg Vornik will step down, with the Board outlining a planned leadership transition for the company (Key Developments).
- Angus Bean, one of DroneShield's earliest employees and current Chief Technology Officer, has been appointed as the new CEO, reflecting continuity from within the existing leadership team (Key Developments).
- Vornik will remain as an adviser for three months to support the handover, aiming for a smoother change in leadership responsibilities (Key Developments).
- Bean is set to commence as CEO on 8 April 2026 under an ongoing employment contract that can be terminated by either party according to its terms (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: Analyst fair value estimate has moved slightly from A$4.50 to A$4.40 per share.
- Discount Rate: The discount rate assumption is now 7.44%, compared with the previous 7.36%, indicating a small uptick in the required return used in the model.
- Revenue Growth: The forecast revenue growth assumption is now 38.13% versus the prior 34.41%, pointing to a higher expected growth rate for future A$ revenue.
- Net Profit Margin: The assumed net profit margin has shifted from 17.42% to 16.36%, reflecting a modestly lower profitability expectation.
- Future P/E: The future P/E expectation has moved from 63.15x to 60.69x, implying a slightly lower valuation multiple applied to projected earnings.
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