Update shared on 31 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 9.86%Analysts have raised their price target for Grupo Supervielle from ARS 2,165.50 to ARS 2,379.00, citing improved sentiment toward Argentine banks following recent favorable election results and an upgraded outlook for the sector.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst activity on Grupo Supervielle has reflected both increased optimism and lingering caution within the sector, especially in response to Argentina's dynamic political and macroeconomic environment.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts have raised price targets for Grupo Supervielle, citing improved sentiment following favorable election results. These results are expected to benefit the banking sector.
- There is an upgraded outlook for Argentine banks more broadly. Expectations for growth are supported by potential sector reforms and improved regulatory clarity.
- Optimism is also tied to the possibility of improved fundamentals and resilience, as new government policies could drive higher profitability and loan demand.
Bearish Takeaways
- Some analysts have downgraded Grupo Supervielle and similar institutions, pointing to increased macroeconomic uncertainty and risks. These risks could impact asset quality and credit demand.
- Concerns persist over higher costs of funding, which could pressure net interest margins in the near term.
- Cautious analysts favor banks with stronger capital ratios and higher liquidity. They express concern that Grupo Supervielle may lag its larger peers under challenging conditions.
- Analysts also warn that guidance from banks could be quickly outdated if the macroeconomic environment continues to evolve unpredictably.
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from ARS 2,165.50 to ARS 2,379.00, reflecting improved confidence in the company's outlook.
- Discount Rate has risen slightly from 29.88% to 29.92%. This indicates a small increase in perceived risk or required return.
- Revenue Growth expectations have fallen from 36.98% to 33.28%. This suggests slightly more conservative assumptions about future expansion.
- Net Profit Margin forecast has decreased from 18.33% to 15.40%, implying anticipated pressure on profitability.
- Future P/E ratio estimate has increased from 5.85x to 8.31x. This signals higher valuation multiples based on updated projections.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.