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Sysco

NYSE:SYY
Snowflake Description

Solid track record established dividend payer.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
SYY
NYSE
$29B
Market Cap
Food Distributors
Company description

Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, markets and distributes a range of food and related products primarily to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Bahamas, Canada, Ireland, Costa Rica, and Mexico. More info.


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3 Month History
SYY
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Sysco undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Sysco to its discounted cash flow value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.

How is this discounted cash flow calculated?

  • The current share price of Sysco is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a premium for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avacados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Sysco's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Sysco's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
  • Overvalued based on earnings compared to the Food and Staples Retailing industry average.
  • Overvalued based on earnings compared to the overall market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Sysco's expected growth come at a high price?
  • Good value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Sysco's assets?
  • Overvalued based on assets compared to the Food and Staples Retailing industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Sysco's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) (Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation.)
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Food and Staples Retailing industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Food and Staples Retailing industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Sysco has a total score of 1/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.
    Note 2: PEG ratio is based on analysts EPS growth expectations in 1 year (35.62%).

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.
X
Discounted cash flow (Free cash flow to Equity)

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Sysco is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years.

See our documentation to learn about this calculation.

5 year cash flow forecast

Present value of next 5 years cash flows:
$6,275

Terminal Value

Terminal Value = FCF2021 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)

Terminal Value = $1,906 × (1 + 2.3%) ÷ (8.47% – 2.3%)

Terminal value based on the Perpetuity Method where growth (g) = 2.3%:
$31,786

Present value of terminal value:
$21,173

Equity Value

Equity Value (Total value) = Present value of next 5 years cash flows + terminal value

Value = Total value / Shares Outstanding ($27,447 / 535)

Value per share:
$51.28

Current discount (share price of $54.43): -6%



Estimate of Discount Rate

The discount rate, or required rate of return, is estimated by calculating the Cost of Equity.

Discount rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)

Discount rate = 8.47% = 2.33% + (0.8 * 7.67%)



Estimate of Bottom Up Beta

The Levered Beta is the Unlevered Beta adjusted for financial leverage. It is limited to 0.8 to 2.0 (practical range for a stable firm).

Levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))

0.651 = 0.539 (1 + (1- 30%) (29.54%))

Levered Beta used in calculation = 0.8



Assumptions
  1. The risk free rate of 2.33% is from the 10 year government bond rate in US.
  2. The bottom-up beta is estimated by analysing other companies in the same industry.
  3. The Equity Risk Premium is calculated by subtracting the risk free rate from the market return premium (10%) (source: Buffet).
  4. The dividend discount model is automatically used for companies in the following industries: Banks, Insurance, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), Diversified Financial Services and Capital Markets.

Future Performance

 How is Sysco expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 15 analysts?

    The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

    Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
    3 year growth
    63%
    Expected earnings growth over 3 years.
    Future Earnings growth analysis
    Is Sysco expected to grow at an attractive rate? We look at the 1 year and 3 year growth below.

    Are Sysco's annual earnings growth expected to exceed 3.4% over the next 3 years?

    • After 1 year
    • After 3 years
    1 & 3 year estimated growth in earnings
    Past and Future Earnings per Share
    The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occured. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
    Analysts growth expectations
    2 year growth check
    Super high growth metrics x1.5?

    Which of the these is expected to increase by over 50% in 2 year's time?

    • Revenue
    • Cash flow
    • Profit
    Performance in 3 years
    In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
    • Sysco is expected to perform strongly, Return on Equity (ROE) in 3 years is estimated to be above 20%.

    Improvement & Relative to industry
    • Expected to be above the Food and Staples Retailing industry average.
    • A decline in Sysco's performance (ROE) is expected over the next 3 years.
    X
    Future performance checks
    We assess Sysco's future performance by looking at:
    1. Is the growth in earnings expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation, in 1 year and 3 years? (2 checks)
    2. Does the average analyst expect Revenue to increase by 50% or more in 2 years? (1 check)
    3. Does the average analyst expect Operating Cash Flow to increase by 50% or more in 2 years? (1 check)
    4. Does the average analyst expect Net Income (Profit) to increase by 50% or more in 2 years? (1 check)
    5. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
    Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
    Sysco has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: If no +3 year data is available, +2.5 year data may be used.

    Note 2: We use GAAP per Share in all our calculations.

    Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

    Past Performance

     How has Sysco performed over the past 5 years?

    The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
    Past earnings growth
    Below we compare Sysco's growth in the last year to its industry (Food and Staples Retailing).
    Past Earnings growth analysis
    We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
    • Sysco's earnings growth has exceeded the industry average over the past year.
    • Sysco's 1 year earnings growth exceeds its 5 year annual average (36.2% vs -4.5%).
    • Sysco earnings have fallen over the past 5 years.
    Profit History
    Sysco's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
    Performance last year
    We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
    • Strong return on shareholders funds (ROE) last year.
    • Sysco performed above the Food and Staples Retailing industry average based on return on assets (ROA) last year.
    • Performance based on revenue producing assets (ROCE) is broadly the same over 3 years.
    X
    Past performance checks
    We assess Sysco's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
    1. Has earnings per share (EPS) increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
    2. Has the EPS growth in the last year exceeded that of the Food and Staples Retailing industry? (1 check)
    3. Is the current EPS growth higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
    4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
    5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
    6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
    The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
    Sysco has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations.

    Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

    Health

     How is Sysco's financial health and their level of debt?

    A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

    The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Sysco's finances.

    The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
    Net Worth
    • Sysco is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
    • Sysco's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
    Balance sheet
    This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Sysco's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
    Assets
    Liabilities and shares
    The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
    • High level of stock/ inventory/ unsold assets.
    • Total debt is not covered by total short term assets.
    Historical Debt
    Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

    The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

    If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
    • The level of debt (357%) compared to net worth is high (greater 40%).
    • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (59% vs 357% today).
    • Total debt is well covered by annual operating cash flow (greater than 20% of total debt).
    • Interest on debt is well covered by earnings (7.5x coverage).
    X
    Financial health checks
    We assess Sysco's financial health by checking for:
    1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
    2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
    3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
    4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
    5. Is the debt covered by short term assets? (1 check)
    6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if comapany pays interest at all)? (1 check)
    7. Sysco has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.


    Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

    Dividends

     What is Sysco's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

    Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
    Annual Dividend Income
    Dividend payments
    2.43%
    Current annual income from Sysco dividends. Estimated to be 2.5% next year.
    If you bought $2,000 of Sysco shares you are expected to receive $49 in your first year as a dividend.
    Dividend Amount
    Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
    • Paying above low risk savings rate. (2.25%)
    • Paying below the markets top dividend payers. (3.18%)
    Historical dividend yield
    It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

    We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
    • Dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
    • Dividends per share have increased over the past 10 years.
    Current Payout to shareholders
    What portion of Sysco's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
    • Dividends paid are covered by net profit (1.5x coverage).
    Future Payout to shareholders
    • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be well covered by net profit (2.1x coverage).
    X
    Income/ dividend checks
    We assess Sysco's dividend by checking for:
    1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.5%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
    2. Current dividend yield, is there one at all, is it higher than the low risk savings rate, and is it above the top 25% of dividend payers? (2 checks)
    3. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
    4. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
    5. How sustainable is the dividend, can Sysco afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
    6. Sysco has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.


    Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

    Management

     What is the CEO of Sysco's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

    Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
    CEO
    Bill DeLaney, image provided by Google.
    Bill DeLaney
    COMPENSATION$14,079,806
    AGE61
    CEO Bio

    Mr. William J. DeLaney, III, also known as Bill, serves as the Chief Executive Officer at Sysco Corporation since March 27, 2009. He serves as a Director of Express Scripts, Inc. He served as President at Sysco Corporation since March 2010. Mr. DeLaney served as the Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President at Sysco Corporation from July 1, 2007 to October 2009. He served as Senior Vice President of Financial Reporting of Sysco Corporation since January 7, 2007. He served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of SYSCO Charlotte, LLC since 2002. He served as an Executive Vice President of the Syracuse operation. He served as a Treasurer at SYSCO and Vice President from 1993 to 1994. Mr. Delaney served as a Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President since 1998. He served as an Independent Director of Aristotle Holding, Inc., since September 2011. He serves as a Director of The Center for Houston's Future and the Greater Houston Partnership. He has been an Independent Director of Express Scripts Holding Company since September 28, 2011 and Sysco Corporation since January 2009. Mr. DeLaney holds a Master of Business Administration from the Wharton Graduate Division of the University of Pennsylvania in 1982 and Bachelor of Business Administration from the University of Notre Dame, located in South Bend, Ind., in 1977.

    CEO Compensation
    • CEO's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
    • CEO's compensation is higher than average for a company of this size and profit level.
    Management Team Tenure

    Average tenure of the Sysco management team:

    Management tenure
    2.5 years
    • The tenure for the Sysco management team is about average.
    Management Team

    Bill DeLaney

    TITLE
    Chief Executive Officer and Director
    COMPENSATION
    $14,079,806
    AGE
    61

    Tom Bené

    TITLE
    President and Chief Operating Officer
    COMPENSATION
    $5,412,417
    AGE
    55

    Joel Grade

    TITLE
    Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President
    COMPENSATION
    $4,115,195
    AGE
    46

    Wayne Shurts

    TITLE
    Chief Technology Officer and Executive Vice President
    COMPENSATION
    $4,058,352
    AGE
    58

    Russell Libby

    TITLE
    Executive Vice President of Administration and Corporate Secretary
    COMPENSATION
    $3,561,802
    AGE
    51

    Anita Zielinski

    TITLE
    Chief Accounting Officer and Senior Vice President
    Board of Directors Tenure

    Average tenure of the Sysco board of directors:

    Board tenure
    13.4 years
    • The average tenure for the Sysco board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
    Board of Directors

    Jackie Ward

    TITLE
    Non-Executive Chairman
    COMPENSATION
    $768,795
    AGE
    79

    Bill DeLaney

    TITLE
    Chief Executive Officer and Director
    COMPENSATION
    $14,079,806
    AGE
    61

    Richard Tilghman

    TITLE
    Independent Director
    COMPENSATION
    $310,006
    AGE
    77

    John Cassaday

    TITLE
    Independent Director
    COMPENSATION
    $305,006
    AGE
    63

    Judith Craven

    TITLE
    Independent Director
    COMPENSATION
    $303,304
    AGE
    72

    Larry Glasscock

    TITLE
    Independent Director
    COMPENSATION
    $305,006
    AGE
    69
    Recent Insider Trading
    • No insider transactions in the past 3 months.
    Who owns this company?
    X
    Management checks
    We assess Sysco's management by checking for:
    1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap and profit (greater than 0.5% of the company's profit + 0.03% of market cap)? (1 check)
    2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
    3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
    4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
    5. Sysco has a total score of 6/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


    Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

    Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions.

    Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

    Company News

    Company Info

    Description

    Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, markets and distributes a range of food and related products primarily to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Bahamas, Canada, Ireland, Costa Rica, and Mexico. It operates through Broadline, SYGMA, and Other segments. The company distributes a line of frozen foods, such as meats, seafood, fully prepared entrees, fruits, vegetables, and desserts; a line of canned and dry foods; fresh meats and seafood; dairy products; beverage products; imported specialties; and fresh produce. It also supplies various non-food items, including paper products comprising disposable napkins, plates, and cups; tableware consisting of China and silverware; cookware consisting of pots, pans, and utensils; restaurant and kitchen equipment and supplies; and cleaning supplies. In addition, the company offers specialty meat products, such as custom-cut fresh steaks, other meat, and poultry products; and lodging industry products, including personal care guest amenities, equipment, housekeeping supplies, room accessories, and textiles. It serves restaurants, hospitals and nursing homes, schools and colleges, hotels and motels, industrial caterers, and other foodservice venues through 200 distribution facilities. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

    Details
    Name:Sysco Corporation
    Ticker:SYY
    Exchange:NYSE
    Founded:1969
    Market Cap:$29,131 million
    Website:http://www.sysco.com
    Listings
    Map

    1390 Enclave Parkway, Houston, 77077, United States

    Number of employees
    Street

    Current staff
    Staff numbers
    51,900
    Sysco employees.
    Industry
    Industry:Food Distributors
    Sector:Food and Staples Retailing